Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction, NFL betting lines, odds, start time: Super Bowl 57 picks from model on 17-6 run

The Kansas City Chiefs will try to conclude the NFL season with an eight-game winning streak when they face the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 57 on Sunday. Kansas City (16-3) has not lost since dropping a 27-24 decision at Cincinnati in Week 13, reeling off five straight victories to end the regular season before knocking off Jacksonville and the Bengals in the NFL playoffs 2023. Philadelphia (16-3) suffered back-to-back losses late in the season, but won its finale before dominating the New York Giants and San Francisco in the postseason ahead of Super Bowl 2023

Kickoff from State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Ariz. is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. Philadelphia is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Eagles vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 51. Before locking in any Chiefs vs. Eagles picks, make sure you see the latest NFL predictions from SportsLine's proven projection model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2023 Super Bowl on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 17-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season and identified both the Eagles and Chiefs as its value Super Bowl picks at the beginning of the 2023 NFL playoffs

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Eagles vs. Chiefs in Super Bowl 57. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook and trends for Chiefs vs. Eagles:

Eagles vs. Chiefs spread: Philadelphia -1.5

Eagles vs. Chiefs over/under: 51 points

Eagles vs. Chiefs money line: Philadelphia -125, Kansas City +105

PHI: Eagles are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine playoff games

KC: Chiefs have covered in their last three meetings with Philadelphia

Eagles vs. Chiefs picks: See picks here

Why the Eagles can cover

Philadelphia has intriguing roster depth on both sides of the ball, with many believing the Eagles have the most balanced and talented roster in the NFL. However, the Eagles also have star-caliber talents, including Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and DeVonta Smith on offense. Philadelphia's defense is also excellent in the aggregate, led by James Bradberry and Haason Reddick. Bradberry allowed the lowest passer rating (41.5) of any defensive back in the NFL this season and ranks in the top three of the league in completion rate allowed (44%), yardsallowed per attempt (4.8), and passes defended (17). Reddick is the anchor of the league's best pass rush, leading the team with 19.5 sacks, including 3.5 in the postseason.


Philadelphia is the first team in NFL history with four players racking up 12 sacks or more in one season and leads the NFL in sacks. The Eagles had 70 sacks in the regular season and, with eight sacks in two playoff games, Philadelphia is No. 3 on the all-time list for sacks in a season. See which team to pick here.

Why the Chiefs can cover

Patrick Mahomes' high-ankle sprain limited his mobility in the AFC Championship Game, but it didn't affect his throwing ability. The 27-year-old posted the fifth 300-yard performance of his playoff career, completing 29-of-43 pass attempts for 326 yards and a pair of touchdowns. In 13 postseason contests, Mahomes has thrown for 3,902 yards with 32 TDs and only seven interceptions.

Tight end Travis Kelce is having yet another big postseason, as he leads all players with 21 receptions and three touchdown catches. The 33-year-old tight end hauled in 14 passes for 98 yards and a pair of scores against the Jaguars in the Divisional Round and had seven receptions for 78 yards and a TD versus the Bengals. Kelce, who has made a touchdown catch in five straight playoff games, ranks second in NFL postseason history in receptions (127), receivingyards (1,467), TD catches (15) and 100-yard performances (seven). See which team to pick here.

How to make Eagles vs. Chiefs picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under the total, calling for 49 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's picks at SportsLine.